The sports betting apps all agree that K-State football’s over/under win total for this fall is 9.5. When I first saw it, I thought that number was a little high. Win totals set that high are usually reserved for programs like Alabama, Ohio State, Oregon, Michigan, Georgia, and Clemson. So I was curious to take a deeper look at the schedule to see if this number of wins is something the Wildcats can accomplish or, on the other hand, see if this team is a bit overhyped. 

Chris Klieman’s Wildcats have hit the “over” the last two seasons. In 2022, the over/under was seven, and they got nine regular season wins. In 2023, the over/under was 7.5, and they finished with eight regular-season wins. To hit the over this fall K-State would have to go 10-2 at a minimum. Can they hit the “over” three years in a row? Here is a breakdown of the schedule, along with whether I see each game as a likely win or loss.

August 31 – vs. UT Martin

No reason for this one not to be a win.

September 7th – at Tulane

I don’t like that it’s on the road, but this one should also be a win.

September 13th – vs. Arizona

A conference game that doesn’t count in the conference standings because it was scheduled before Arizona joined the Big 12. I don’t like that it is on a Friday night, but K-State is already a 7.5-point favorite according to my favorite betting app, so I think the Wildcats should win this one.

September 21st – at BYU

This could be a tough road game, but K-State should be favored to win. 

September 28th – vs. Oklahoma State

You never know what you’re gonna get with the Cowboys, but I like that this game is at home. Wildcats should be slightly favored.

October 12th – at Colorado

Colorado has a lot of hype and K-State is more substance and will likely be favored to win.

October 19th – at West Virginia

This game could be a problem for the Wildcats depending on how good the Mountaineers are. K-State should be favored, however.

October 26th – vs. Kansas

Kansas will be improved. Glad this one is at home. K-State should be favored to win.

November 2nd – at Houston

Houston didn’t show much last year in their first season in the Big 12. This is a likely win for K-State.

November 16th – vs. Arizona State

Arizona State was 2-9 last season in the Pac-12. Not sure what to expect of them this season, but I think this is a likely win.

November 23rd – vs. Cincinnati

Cincinnati was 3-9 last season. As of right now, I’m expecting more of the same and for K-State to take care of business at home.

November 30th – at Iowa State

A revenge game against the Cyclones? Hope it doesn’t snow.

I’ll be honest. K-State could run the table in the Big 12. There are also three or four games they could lose. I’d wait to bet, but if you put a gun to my head, I would bet the over. This appears to be K-State’s easiest schedule in a long time. The 9.5 win over/under seems about right to me.